Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?

This market asks whether Ukraine will recapture any territory in Crimea by the end of 2026. It resolves YES if Ukrainian-controlled territory appears on the ISW conflict map or if Ukraine gains actual control through a negotiated settlement. The resolution relies on the ISW daily map updates, requiring any territorial changes to persist through at least one full update cycle to qualify. Once Ukraine captures any part of Crimea, subsequent losses won't affect the YES resolution.

Trade "Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?" on Premu — a decentralized, on-chain prediction market. The market currently prices YES at about 2%. Settle in USDC with wallet sign-in and no KYC.