Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?

This market asks whether Satoshi Nakamoto, Bitcoin's mysterious creator, will move any of their holdings in 2026. It resolves YES if Arkham's Intel Explorer detects any outflow or swap transactions from wallets attributed to Satoshi between January 9 and December 31, 2026. Even a single transaction triggers a YES resolution. If Arkham becomes unavailable, credible alternative sources will determine the outcome. This market offers insight into whether the dormant Bitcoin founder's wallet will show any signs of activity.

Trade "Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?" on Premu — a decentralized, on-chain prediction market. The market currently prices YES at about 2%. Settle in USDC with wallet sign-in and no KYC.