Will Russia capture all of Lyman by June 30, 2026?

This market asks whether Russia will fully control the municipality of Lyman in Donetsk Oblast by June 30, 2026. It resolves YES if the entire area appears shaded red on the ISW map by the deadline, indicating Russian control that persists through a complete daily update cycle. The resolution uses the ISW's official conflict map as the sole arbiter, with minor border-shading discrepancies disregarded. Once captured, any subsequent losses of control do not affect a YES resolution.

Trade "Will Russia capture all of Lyman by June 30, 2026?" on Premu — a decentralized, on-chain prediction market. The market currently prices YES at about 1%. Settle in USDC with wallet sign-in and no KYC.