Will Karen Bass win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election by 0–5%?

This market tracks the margin of victory in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election scheduled for June 2, 2026. It resolves YES if the winning candidate defeats the runner-up by a margin of 0–5 percentage points based on the official vote count. The margin is calculated as the absolute difference between the vote percentages of the top two finishers. If no candidate wins outright, a runoff will follow in November 2026.

Trade "Will Karen Bass win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election by 0–5%?" on Premu — a decentralized, on-chain prediction market. The market currently prices YES at about 0%. Settle in USDC with wallet sign-in and no KYC.