Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by June 30, 2026?

This market asks whether Israeli military ground forces will conduct operations within Iranian territory between February 28, 2026, and June 30, 2026. It resolves Yes if official Israeli military confirmation or overwhelming credible reporting establishes that Israeli troops operated on the ground inside Iran during this period. Aerial strikes, cyberattacks, intelligence operations, and proxy actions do not qualify—only direct Israeli military personnel physically present in Iranian territory counts.

Trade "Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by June 30, 2026?" on Premu — a decentralized, on-chain prediction market. The market currently prices YES at about 2%. Settle in USDC with wallet sign-in and no KYC.