Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?

This market resolves YES if 2026 ranks as the third-hottest year in the NASA Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index historical record. The resolution will use the unsmoothed temperature data for 2026 once it becomes available, comparing it against all other years in the dataset to determine its exact ranking. If 2026 ties with another year, it will receive the ranking of whichever year it matches. The market will resolve as soon as the official NASA data is released, typically in early 2027.

Trade "Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?" on Premu — a decentralized, on-chain prediction market. The market currently prices YES at about 3%. Settle in USDC with wallet sign-in and no KYC.