Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?

This market tracks whether the Bab el-Mandeb Strait becomes effectively closed by June 30, 2024. It resolves Yes if IMF PortWatch's 7-day moving average of arriving ships at the strait drops to 10 or below at any point before the deadline. The market uses official IMF PortWatch data as its sole resolution source and will close as soon as the threshold is met or once final data is published for the resolution date.

Trade "Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?" on Premu — a decentralized, on-chain prediction market. The market currently prices YES at about 2%. Settle in USDC with wallet sign-in and no KYC.