Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 15?

This market tracks maritime traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait, a critical chokepoint for global shipping. It resolves Yes if the IMF PortWatch database records a 7-day average of 10 or fewer ship arrivals at any point before June 15. The resolution uses official shipping data from IMF PortWatch, with the market settling as soon as the threshold is met or once the deadline passes without that occurring.

Trade "Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 15?" on Premu — a decentralized, on-chain prediction market. The market currently prices YES at about 1%. Settle in USDC with wallet sign-in and no KYC.