Iran War

Conflict, ceasefire & nuclear

Trade "Iran War" on Premu — a decentralized, on-chain prediction market. Take a position with wallet sign-in and no KYC, settled in USDC across Ethereum, Arbitrum, and Base.

Outcomes

Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes? — YES ~100%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? — YES ~98%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? — YES ~50%
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? — YES ~45%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? — YES ~45%
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting? — YES ~44%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? — YES ~20%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? — YES ~19%
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? — YES ~5%
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? — YES ~1%
Will Iran hold a presidential election by June 30? — YES ~1%
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? — YES ~0%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? — YES ~0%
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? — YES ~0%
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? — YES ~0%
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31? — YES ~0%